Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Obama's Half Trillion Dollar 2-Year Economic Plan


US $500 billion seems to be the ball park figure being thrown around for President-elect Barack Obama's economic plan that he wants enacted by the end of January, sources say.

The 2 year plan aims at creating or saving around 2.5 million US jobs, and looks to invest in technologies, transport and energy saving seems that will "pay for themselves" in the long term.

Some Democratic lawmakers put the figure as high as $700 billion, but others say that's unlikely.

"We have to make sure that the stimulus is significant enough that it really gives a jolt to the economy, that it is putting people back to work, that it is making investments, that it is restoring some confidence in the business community that, in fact, their products and services are going to have customers," Obama said Monday as he announced his economic team.

Declining repeatedly to estimate the cost of the plan, Obama said, "It's going to be costly."

Evy Hambro, Economist: Possible End In Sight For Global Economic Crisis

A UK economist specialising in China says that the economic stimulus package implemented by the Chinese government earlier this year could have positive impacts on world growth and save the global economy from a deep recession.

"I do think we are starting to see the green shoots of recovery and also confidence coming back with regards to people's outlook for the Chinese economy," BlackRock portfolio manager Evy Hambro said during a teleconference

Mr Hambro said industrialisation of the world's emerging nations was still taking place and would continue to be a "significant" driver of commodity demand over the next 10 to 15 years.
"We believe we're going through a short-term dip in what is at the end of the day a very long-term trend," Mr Hambro said.

"Demand at the end of the day will recover.
"These are not luxury goods these are essential goods people need to run their lives and you can't live without oil, you can't live without energy and many metals."

Via: SMH




Change.Gov : Barack Obama First Internet Address to US.

President-elect Barack Obama first ever weekly internet-radio address to the American people.

US President-elect Barack Obama has outlined his plans for America in an unprecedented address using YouTube, outside of the traditional use of the radio waves for a weekly Democratic party address to the nation.

In the video uploaded to YouTube late on Friday the 22nd of November, Obama outlined his plans for the creation of 2.5 million jobs by January 2011, exactly two years after he is expected to take office as President.

We'll be working out the details in the weeks ahead, but it will be a two-year, nationwide effort to jump start job creation in America and lay the foundation for a strong and growing economy," Obama said in his weekly Internet/radio address.

His announcement came two days after government data showed that new jobless claims had surged to a 16-year high, in a new sign that the world's largest economy appeared to be sliding into a deep recession, press reported.

Obama is also expected to officially announce his entire cabinet within the week. Obama is set to introduce Senator Hillary Clinton as his Secretary of State, and as we predicted Timothy Geithner as Secretary of Treasury.

Obama has also launched a website set to keep Americans up to speed with the President-elects administration, Change.gov.

Full 'weekly' Barack Obama Internet and radio address:






Japan In Recession

Following on from offical reports from the European Union and Hong Kong, Japanese authities and analysts say that Japan's economy has entred a recession after a period of low growth.

Government officials announced Monday that the Worlds second largest economy was indeed in recession, following the rest of the world into slowdown in the aftermath of the Global Financial and Credit Crisis.

Japan's Cabinet Office confirmed that its economy shrank another 0.1 percent in the third quarter, following a 0.9 percent drop in the second quarter. The country's gross domestic product -- second to the United States -- has fallen by 0.4 percent this year, pushing Japan into its first recession since 2001.

Via: Washington Post



Timothy Geithner: Treasury Secretary of Obama Administation?

Picture: Timothy Geithner

Could this man be one of the most important men in the world on January 20, 2009?

47-year-old Timothy Geithner is the hot favourite to be named by US President elect Barack Obama as United States Treasury Secretary, prominent economists believe.

As the US economy dramatically falters and the New York stock exchange continues to plunge, the pragmatic and youthful looking Geithner (pronounced GITE-ner) would likely bring confidence to Wall Street and global financial markets if named by Obama either Friday afternoon US time or later in the month.

A Reuters-Thompson survey of prominent economist found over half thought that Tim Geithner would be chosen for the important role of navigating the US economy out of the expected recession, with 26 of 48 respondents saying Geithner would be chosen for the job.

Timothy Geithner is the current president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank and has been on the front lines of the Global Credit crisis and Wall Street meltdown. Despite his relative youth compared to many in the business, Geithner is a seasoned crisis manager, being at the centre of solving, "almost every major financial blowup of the past decade".

“He has a calm way in the face of whatever he’s facing and an irreverent sense of humor,” former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said of Geithner a few years ago.

Like Obama, Geithner has a reputation for having a cool temperament and seeks consensus when approaching complex problems to solutions. Tim Geithner has also been a voice of alarm in recent years over the possibility of a crisis, that has unfolded in the last few months.

In the last few years Geithner has also closely studied the complex world of credit derivatives (considered financial weapons of mass destruction by Warren Buffett) in an attempt to understand the risks to the wider economy. His skills in this area, along with his history as a financial regulator, also make him the perfect fit to map out a new strategy to build a new regulatory framework in the aftermath of the 2008 economic and credit crisis.

"We’ve seen substantial change in the financial system", Geithner warned almost two years ago.

"With the emergence of a very large universe of leveraged private funds, rapid growth in exposures to more complicated and less liquid financial instruments, all during a period of very low volatility,” said Mr. Geithner in an interview to the New York Times interview around the same time. “This means we know less about market dynamics in conditions of stress.”

Like the Barack Obama"internationalist" brand gained from his four years at school in Indonesia and his Kenyan father, Timothy Geithener also has a similar life story and world view.

As Obama was born in the US and moved overseas at a young age, so to did Geithner. He grew up in Thailand and India, he graduated from the International School in Bangkok, returned to the US and gained a B.A. in government and Asian studies in 1983.

He later achieved an M.A. in International Economics and East Asian Studies, lived across the world including Japan and East Africa and can speak Japanese and Chinese.

He's worked for the IMF and is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations since 2001.

He is only a few days younger than Barack Obama, is a registered Democrat and has two young children.

The Economist Endorses Obama

From The Economist:

For all the shortcomings of the campaign, both John McCain and Barack Obama offer hope of national redemption. Now America has to choose between them. The Economist does not have a vote, but if it did, it would cast it for Mr Obama. We do so wholeheartedly: the Democratic candidate has clearly shown that he offers the better chance of restoring America’s self-confidence.

Piroska Nagy Affair: IMF Chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn

Former IMF economist Piroska Nagy seen at a meeting in 2002.

The Chief of the International Monetary Fund, one of the most important financial organizations in the world, has been cleared of any wrong doing by the executive board of the organization after a scandal involving his extramarital relationship with a subordinate, economist Piroska Nagy.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn was investigated for favouritism and abuse of authority, but the IMF board released a statement early Sunday indicating that DSK was clear to continue his job. The IMF is currently at the centre of a number of international rescue plans for ailing world economies such as the Ukraine, Iceland and Pakistan.

The scandal threatened to distract the IMF and world leaders from the difficult task of negotiating a solution to the current Global Financial meltdown seen across the world.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who admitted to having an affair with subordinate Piroska Nagy, was cleared of any wrongdoing in connection with his relationship with a female employee while faulting him for a ``serious error of judgment.''

From Bloomberg:

An investigation by the fund's board ``concluded that there was no harassment, favoritism, or any other abuse of authority,'' a statement by the Washington-based agency said yesterday. ``Nevertheless, the Executive Board noted that the incident was regrettable and reflected a serious error of judgment on the part of the managing director.''


The report said Strauss-Kahn made ``initial contact'' with a female staff member, who wasn't identified, concerning ``legitimate IMF business.'' There followed ``a two-week-long exchange of consensual and very personal messages.'' In early January the two engaged in a ``consensual physical relationship of short duration.''


The scandal came about a year after a similar situation developed at the other major Bretton Woods born Washington DC organization, involving former Bush White house official Paul Wolfowitz, at the World Bank.







Saturday 2008 President Polls: Obama Strong Nationally, Big Lead in Colorado, Pennsylvania, Close in Ohio Despite Economy

Saturday, Midday October 25
Poll
Results from realclearpolitics.com

National
Rasmussen Reports
Obama 52, McCain 44
Obama +8

National
Hotline/FD
Obama 50, McCain 43
Obama +7

National
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
Obama 51, McCain 42
Obama +9

Colorado
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4
Obama 52, McCain 40
Obama +12

Pennsylvania
Morning Call
Obama 52, McCain 41
Obama +11

Ohio
Ohio Newspaper Poll
Obama 49, McCain 46
Obama +3




Joe the Plumber to Run in '10




Unnecessary 2008 US Presidential election side show, Joe the Plumber from Ohio says he may as well (thinking about it) throw his hat into the ring for the 2010 election, given his new found status as Americas regular guy.

From CNN:

Joe Wurzelbacher, the most famous plumber in America thanks to John McCain and Sarah Palin, told conservative talk radio host Laura Ingraham Friday he's considering a run for Congress in 2010.

That would pit Wurzelbacher against longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur for Ohio's 9th district on the state’s northern border, which includes Toledo and Sandusky. "I'll tell you what, we'd definitely be in one heck of a fight, Marcy Kaptur definitely has a following in this area," he said of the possibility. "But, you know, I'd be up for it."

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